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The mile claimer at Lyon looks a tight contest on the figures, but I think the chances of Dschingis Fear have been overlooked and he is well worth backing at double-figure odds.

There is no doubt he has run better than his form figures of 778 suggest.  He moved into the race well enough before getting tired on debut at Saint-Cloud in June, and didn’t get a clear run in the final couple of furlongs on his next outing at Compiegne, when beaten just 2L by the runner-up.

It was a similar story at Dieppe last time, when his apprentice jockey Louis Nomis (who keeps the ride today) struggled to find the gaps in the home straight, and again he really wasn’t beaten far into eighth.

Nomis may have only ridden one winner so far this year, but that came for this yard and he has also ridden five seconds from his 13 rides for Yann Barberot, so 46% in the first two. 

The drop to claiming company should see him get competitive and the 16-1 on offer is too big.

11.50am Lyon – 2pts win, 1pt place Dshingis Fear @ 16-1 (most firms)

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