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No black type racing at Chantilly today but Race Four is the first of a couple of two-year-old contests that should offer clues to future Group races. The Prix de la Lorie is a mile contest for two-year-old fillies taking a step up in grade from maidens.
Boussac and Fillies Mile-entered Kelina made a big impression when winning the coveted Prix des Marettes maiden at Deauville last month, which has since been boosted emphatically by the 2nd and 3rd – both hacked up in maidens on their next start and rate as black type prospects themselves.
Kelina was devastating in making all but anyone that saw her stablemate Left Sea at Longchamp this week will be treading carefully. She now has to back it up against more experienced rivals and faces competition for the lead today from Caravaggio filly Chervona Kalyna. The case for her is obvious but she is well found in the market at 4/7.
Chervona Kalyna made a winning debut at Deauville herself and was subsequently sold out of her yard in the Czech Republic. Purchased by Peter Bradley, I think new connections want to know where they stand with the filly before the autumn black type races and I’m not convinced by her stepping up to a mile today. She’s hardly had any time to settle into her new yard and presumably she’s had a fair bit of travel to contend with in the last three weeks.
It’s possible that Kelina might be dropped in today to continue her racecourse education, which might explain why the Wertheimers also run the maiden Shirin, who interestingly had an entry in the Prix d’Aumale – to presumably give something for Left Sea to potentially aim at.
With an odds-on favourite, this race is crying out for an each-way bet and it simply has to be Yann Barberot’s Markswoman at 4-1. The Recoletos filly ran an eye-catching debut at Craon and then sauntered to victory at Compiegne on her second start. Last month she was a shade unlucky not to win at Clairefontaine, perhaps finishing her race on the wrong part of the track, but her trainer still continues to rate her highly. She reportedly wasn’t in her coat last month and rates as the type to do better this autumn.
By a top miler and out of a 10-furlong mare, a mile on softish ground looks right up her street and it will take an act of god for her not to place this afternoon. There are only two places on offer now with the non-runner, but she has a good running style for place purposes.
3.03pm Chantilly – 1pt each-way Markswoman @ 4-1 (all firms)
There’s a bit of time to wait until my next bet at 5.30pm, which comes in a modest handicap over 1900m on the polytrack.
Four finished in the runner-up berth on their last start but I’m going to take a chance on a horse who’s finished no better than 8th in all his starts this year! Alpatkinoss is fancied in a few places in France and he can’t be left unbacked this afternoon.
Alpatkinoss is a dual winner on the Pornichet polytrack and slipped down the weights this summer when in the care of trainer Michel Drean, who only had a string of three horses at the time. Drean has sent out just three winners from his base since the start of 2015 and has to rate statistically as one of the worst trainers to hold a licence in France.
Adrien Fouassier received the horse back in his care in August and could hold the keys here. He’s a far more prolific trainer than Drean and trained Alpatkinoss to be 8kg superior to his current mark of 15.0. Despite only being in the Fouassier yard for a matter of days, the selection attracted a small amount of money at Deauville last month and ran promisingly, beaten just four lengths.
It’s dangerous to get too heavily involved in this basement grade, but Alpatkinoss is drawn in eight today and Maxime Guyon is a rare jockey booking for this yard.
He looks a cracking each-way bet with the 18 runners and four places paid.
5.30pm Chantilly – 1pt each-way Alpatkinoss @ 8-1, 4 places 1/4 (Betfair Sportsbook, Bet Victor, Sporting Index, Pari Match or 17/2 with a number of firms paying five places, 1/5)
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