In the opener at Deauville, Fabre’s Ribble Vibe is overpriced at 3-1. The stable has won five 2yo maidens in the last couple of weeks and the main reason I think it’s 3-1 and not 5/4 is because Barzalona is either on holiday or honoring riding commitments overseas ahead of the Hong Kong races next weekend.


As a Sea The Stars half brother to Ribchester, Ribble Vibe’s pedigree is absolute standout here and he only looks to have Rouget’s Siyouni to beat on paper. Rouget seems to quite like his in the press but it’s notable that connections went through with selling the yearling sibling at Arqana in the autumn.


There’s a nice jockey angle here too with the top riders like Barza, Guyon and Demuro away.


Fabre’s apprentice is value for his regular 2.5kg claim in the regular ‘Parisian peloton’ and therefore even better value with the top riders away (Soumillon doesn’t have a ride in this). Furthermore, Mosse gets an additional 1kg as he rides for Fabre in this. He’s had 300 rides in the last couple of years, rides at 10% and tends to ride aggressively on the polytrack, which is an asset.


Rouget’s jockey by contrast is new to the weighing room this year, has just 2 career wins and carries 1kg more than Mosse.


Ok so none of Ribble Vibe’s siblings have come anywhere close to Ribchester but the dam has continued to be extremely well supported and they tend to run well first time out. 3-1 is too big on Ribble Vibe to pass up.


3.07pm 1pt win Ribble Vibe @ 3-1 (generally available, or 100/30 with William Hill or Betfred)