All eyes are on Cambacérès in Race 2, a Wootton Bassett colt who finished 4th on debut in a race where the winner, 2nd and 5th have won since.
He was given an educational ride on debut and is described as being tense by his trainer. With normal improvement he should go very close to winning today’s maiden, which looks only modest for this track.
At 4/7 he is well-found in the market and I’m naturally inclined to find a solid each-way alternative.
Form and racecourse experience can have an edge at this time of year – we saw that a week ago when Graffard’s modest Cape Cannon was first past the post in a similar event.
Trainer Florian Guyader had a poor start to the season, saddling just two winners before July – very surprising for an operation known for running breeze-up horses. The yard’s in better form and their Ferrari Fever is good bet in this race. He’s an 8-race maiden but his form makes him the most reliable option here and his last effort in a handicap was probably a career best. I think he’s better than his French rating of 34.0 (UK equivalent of OR 75), Marie Velon takes off a handy 3lbs and he’s still unexposed on a better surface or polytrack.
He’s clearly quite well-liked at home as he hasn’t dropped to a basement grade and they’d have known with this entry that he’d be facing a nice type trained by either Rouget, Ferland or Fabre. Another sign is that he made his racecourse debut in €50,000 maiden against Ramatuelle. Hopefully he can push today’s favourite all the way to the line, and potentially even provide connections with a poignant winner following the passing of owner Theresa Marnane.
Elsewhere, 7-1 shot Escudo d’Ouro hasn’t run to Ferrari Fever’s level yet, for all that he has fewer miles on the clock. Grand Scoop is 12-1 from 25-1 and is likely a better long term prospect than the selection given his pedigree and sales price, but you’d need to have had a couple of drinks or to have a line from the trainer to back one on debut from stall 11! Serquigny and Bolzano could leave their debut efforts well behind and trouble the favourite, but I’d have wanted to see more from them.
Weighing them all up, it’s hard for me to see Ferrari Fever running worse than fourth here, providing Velon can make use of his low draw. He’s broken smartly in most of his races and let’s hope for a similar scenario to our last Deauville tip who made all on Sunday!
1.25pm Deauville 1pt each-way Ferrari Fever @ 7-1 (generally available, or 15/2 with BetVictor, Coral, Unibet etc.)