The 3200m maiden at Le Mans (1.12pm) looks a very weak race and, though he is reportedly not at 100% fitness, Jour Polaire is still overpriced to make a winning reappearance.


A very useful performer over jumps, he was a Listed winner over hurdles at Auteuil 18 months ago and finished second there over fences in September in a good race.


The favourite should continue to progress, but was beaten by a 28-rated rival last time and that’s not much of a benchmark.  Idaten is the highest-rated, but his mark of 30.5 is modest and he was beaten by a stablemate of Jour Polaire’s last time, who is markedly inferior to our selection over jumps.


1.12pm Le Mans – 1pt ew Jour Polaire @ 16-1 (most firms)