Kelina had a huge reputation as a 2yo, so much so, she had a pacemaker on her second start in a conditions race! Beaten favourite on Arc weekend in the Boussac, there’s a clear pattern to her form in that she hates soft ground.

 

She was an easy winner of a Group 2 this summer the last time she had her ground, which earned her a flashy rating.

 

She has 2lb to find with evens favourite Big Rock today on weight adjusted ratings and her race spacing looks better to me than horses that had battles in August here. Reynier flagged it as a concern regarding Facteur Cheval.

 

With a high of 31 degrees in Paris today, we can safely assume good ground and connections say Kelina will be ridden for a place.

 

Big Rock and Sauterne are likely to set this up for closers. Big Rock may stay out front but he’s had a busy year and is surely prone to running a stinker.

 

Kelina looks a huge price today and it would be rude not to back her e/w in this frame.

 

3.33pm Longchamp – 1pt each-way Kelina @ 14-1 (all firms, William Hill and bet365 are 16-1)