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A very early stakes race today so I’ll keep this brief!
Jean-Claude Rouget’s Long Ridge Road looks to have been targeted at Race Three at Marseille today, La Coupe de Marseille. The Ribchester filly won impressively over C&D in May and perhaps found 12 furlongs a stretch too far on her last start, which came two and a half months ago at Toulouse in similar company to today.
She raced keenly that day, so I can see why they are dropping back to 10 furlongs with her, but she hardly finished the race in the style of a filly that should be a 6/5 chance today.
Perle Rouge has been highly-touted by her yard for a while now and also has good form at this track. She loves to aim at a strong pace and she improved 7lbs officially to finish 5th in a Group Two last month at Deauville, narrowly missing out on third. She has 9lbs in hand on the favourite on figures and her price of 7/2 is plain wrong.
She hasn’t really had a break since her racing career began as a juvenile last May and there is an obvious concern that she may not be able to replicate that piece of form from last month. Those doubts are more than factored into her price and we haven’t seen enough recently from the former Joseph O’Brien filly Pennine Hills to consider her a big threat to the selection.
11.15am Marseille-Borely – 1pt win Perle Rouge 7/2 (William Hill, Sky Bet, Bet Victor, Betfred, Boylesports, Betway etc.)
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