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Plenty of action today and some cracking action across the cards. We have four selections today, two at Ffos Las, one at Salisbury and one at Chelmsford.
Tip 1 – 2.55pm Salisbury
Our first selection comes in the 6f fillies’ handicap at 2.55pm. The current favourite, Silent Flame, looks well treated. She remains off a mark of 70 following her narrow defeat at Nottingham just over a week ago. This does look a stronger race and she doesn’t represent value at her current price.
She Do looks interesting dropped back to 6f after running well in tougher races over 7f and a mile recently. However, we are most interested in Bella Notte.
A model of consistency since sent handicapping, she has shown an affinity for Salisbury. She won on handicap debut here over 7f as a two-year-old at a monster price. Returning to Salisbury for her seasonal reappearance, she travelled well and looked to have the race sewn up before being collared late on.
That performance, arguably, was a career best and she looks ahead of her still despite a 3lb rise. Bella Notte’s dam continued to improve with age and experience and hopefully this filly can follow suit. If she strips fitter for that reappearance run, she will go close and looks the value at the current prices.
2.55pm Salisbury – 1pt win Bella Notte 9/2 general (some 5/1 available)
Tip 2 – 3.55pm Ffos Las
This is a very poor race and Tinchoo looks to have outstanding claims to shed her maiden tag. Her penultimate run is strong form for the grade, with winners coming out of it and others running well in stronger races since.
Likewise, her most recent run at Wolverhampton is a solid piece of form with the two in front of her franking the form. She holds the second favourite, Polar Ice, on that run and it is difficult to see that being reversed.
Whilst the fancy prices have disappeared, she still represents value at the current prices and won’t be afforded a better opportunity to win a race. The drop back in trip won’t be a problem and she has the assistance of Hollie Doyle in the saddle.
3.55pm Ffos Las – 2pt win Tinchoo 5/2 general
Tip 3 – 4.25pm Ffos Las
Another moderate race, this time a maiden handicap. You could put forward strong cases for all with the exception of the outsider, Lady Gwhinnyvere. The one that appeals at the prices is L’Operateur.
L’Operateur looks overpriced on the basis of his two recent runs have been poor and are best ignored. I think those two poor runs can be attributed to the trip and not giving himself a chance to stay 10f by pulling too hard.
It looks a sensible move to drop him back to 7 ½f and he can get his progression back on track. He is most interesting on his Windsor run over a mile where he should have won. Now 1lb lower than that Windsor run and back down to a more suitable trip with a good jockey booking, he can get off the mark.
4.25pm Ffos Las – 1pt win L’Operateur 6/1 general (some 7/1 available)
Tip 4 – 7.22pm Chelmsford
Our final selection of the day comes in the 1m6f handicap at 7.22pm. It is competitive but doesn’t look the strongest race and this looks a good opportunity for Dirham Emirati to notch a second career success.
Outclassed in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot last time, this looks a much more suitable assignment. He has shown a liking for artificial surfaces and has no issues with small field contests. When he won at Newcastle, they went hideously slowly but he looked straightforward and won with consummate ease.
Formerly in the care of David Simcock, he now moves to rookie trainer Kevin Philipart De Foy. This will be a big deal for De Foy given the prominent owner and he will surely be wanting to get off to the perfect start with this new partnership to showcase his training aptitude.
Dirham Emirati looks on a workable mark and his pedigree points to this trip being suitable. He has the most upside in this field, looks the most likely winner to me and, as a result, represents value at the current prices.
7.22pm Chelmsford – 1pt win Dirham Emirati 3/1 general (some 10/3 available)
Other Thoughts For Today…
I’m not advising these as bets but for those interested: Berry Quick looks a shade of value in the opener at Beverley. My concern with this one is that the family just doesn’t win races. He was a big eyecatcher at Doncaster last time and this trip promises to suit. In the 2m handicap at Beverley, Dreambird is interesting. Her pedigree is littered with good stayers. My doubts are whether she will be street-wise enough for this track and her sire, Oasis Dream, gives me doubts about her staying this trip well enough. I’ll be watching the Racing League at Lingfield but no advised bets. Previous course winner Talbot looks interesting now in the care of Joseph O’Brien in the opener. I think Breath of Sun can get back on track returned to Lingfield in race 2. Neither are quite appealing enough at the prices to put up.
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