UK Horse Racing Tips – 29 September
Interesting card at Kempton Park this evening and we have three selections coming in the final three races.
Tip 1 – 7.30pm Kempton Park
I’m keen to get involved in this race as I want to oppose the current short priced favourite, Busby. His record fresh isn’t inspiring, his jockey has a very moderate strike rate and he’s drawn out wide which makes things even more difficult.
I like the claims of Give ‘Em The Slip. Her penultimate run at Lingfield was very good. Especially in the context of today’s race. It was a stronger race than she contests today and the form worked out. The winner, Lilkian followed up next time and the second, Epsom Faithful, racked up a double subsequently. The way she finished suggested a return to 7f will suit and she can put a lesser run on turf behind her.
She is yet to win in nine starts but drops in to Class 6 company for the first time today. All three of her all-weather runs (all at Lingfield) have been good. She has a good draw in 2 and has William Buick, which is a huge positive. Everything points to a good run.
7.30pm Kempton – 2pt win Give ‘Em The Slip 5/1 general (some 11/2 available)
Tip 2 – 8.00pm Kempton Park
Given the uninspiring win records of some of the market leaders, Ivadream looks worth chancing now returned to an artificial surface. He’s shown enough on his last couple of starts at Ffos Las and Brighton to suggest he is capable off this mark.
His sole win on the all-weather (also won once on turf) came over 7f at Wolverhampton last September off a 3lb higher mark. He’s raced at Kempton Park twice showing promise on both occasions. 7f on an artificial surface is ideal for him. The wide draw is a negative but that’s factored in to the price and he’s also likely to be dropped in anyway. If he has a decent pace to aim at then he can go close in an open looking contest.
8.00pm Kempton Park – 1pt win Ivadream 9/1 general (some 10/1 available)
Tip 3 – 8.30pm Kempton Park
The Guvnor showed plenty of promise in novice events at this track and Wolverhampton. Then he showed further improvement when stepped up in trip and sent in to handicaps earlier in the year. He put a deplorable effort at Newbury firmly behind him when running well at Chelmsford last time.
The Guvnor travelled really well in that race and looked a likely winner turning for home. That is strong form in the context of this grade with the winner, second and sixth all winning since. This looks a considerably weaker race and the extra emphasis on stamina looks like it will suit him.
8.30pm Kempton – 1pt win The Guvnor 6/1 general (some 13/2 available)