Free UK Horse Racing Tips
Plenty of competitive action and some nice betting heats today and we have seven selections spread across Newcastle, Ascot and Kempton.
Tip 1 – 1.00pm Newcastle
A moderate race full of perennial bridesmaids who just can’t seem to win. Monash undoubtedly has the most talent of these, often looks unlucky but maybe he just doesn’t fully apply himself. It wouldn’t be a surprise to finally see him shed his maiden tag but there looks to be value elsewhere.
Grand Pianola looks the bet at the prices. He is another maiden in this field but he’s only raced – on the all-weather at least – exclusively at Southwell. Often finishing in the money and going close at Southwell and given the toughness of that surface, it will be unfair to say he doesn’t apply himself. His dam won on a tapeta surface at Wolverhampton so that provides extra encouragement for this surface.
He’s never shown anything on turf but his return after a long absence at Thirsk wasn’t totally devoid of promise. If he builds on that and improves for a new artificial surface, then he can go well and outrun his price.
1.00pm Newcastle – 1pt win Grand Pianola 11/1 general (some 12/1 available)
Tip 2 – 1.35pm Newcastle
Liberty Warrior was an eye-catcher and the one to take out of the race last time at Salisbury. He was held up in rear and travelled nicely in to the race. Then he was short of room as the eventual winner shot by, moved inside and then back out wide again and was doing his best work at the end.
Given his pedigree, a test at this trip should suit. He remains unexposed after only five career starts. The only three-year-old in the line-up, I think he should be shorter than the current odds on offer.
1.35pm Newcastle – 1pt win Liberty Warrior 7/2 general
Tip 3 – 2.45pm Newcastle
A competitive and open nursery. Young Winston didn’t show a great deal on debut but stepped up on that markedly on his second start at Beverley. He failed to build on that last time (again at Beverley) but the pace held up – the winner made all – and that was probably a fair race. The third has since bolted up at Hamilton, albeit in a weak race.
Young Winston is certainly of interest now handicapping. I’m not convinced he looked entirely comfortable on a track like Beverley and Newcastle should prove more suitable.
Moving to an artificial surface is an interesting move. His dam is a full-sister to Berlin Tango, who won a Group 3 at Kempton. The initial mark of 67 doesn’t appear overly burdensome and he can go well at a fair price.
2.45pm Newcastle – Young Winston 1pt win 9/1 general (some 10/1 available)
Tip 4 – 3.20pm Newcastle
I was surprised to see Shaykhoon at such a big price. The rest of his form away from Newcastle isn’t worth mentioning. However, returning to Newcastle, he has to be of strong interest. He ran well in a nursery here last year but took his form to a new level when stepped up to 7f here in June.
The racing that day was unpredictable to say the least. From memory, there was either a strong headwind or the surface was riding extremely deep. The time of that win was extremely slow too. Nevertheless it was hard not to be impressed with the manner of that victory, especially given he cantered all over the opposition.
That race was in a higher grade and today he drops in to a 0-65 against older, more exposed horses. He represents plenty of value at the prices.
3.20pm Newcastle – Shaykhoon 2pt win 8/1 general
Tip 5 – 4.10pm Ascot
Prontissimo is the obvious starting point and he has plenty going for him but looks short enough. Beauty Choice looks the most interesting to me. He’s starting to become well handicapped again, he’s only 1lb higher than his last winning mark.
I think his run over this course and distance back in May can be upgraded. Travelling nicely early on, the race developed away from him and he had to challenge widest of all on the wing. He perhaps didn’t have anything to take him in to the race long enough.
Well fancied at Goodwood on his last start, that was probably too much of a speed test. Back at Ascot should be more suitable and can outrun his odds.
4.10pm Ascot – Beauty Choice 1pt win 8/1 general
Tip 6 – 6.15pm Kempton
There are a lot of unknowns here and it’s debatable how much those prominent in the market have ahead of their respective marks.
One who certainly looks well handicapped is Raise The Roof. She has been overlooked in the market despite having excuses in both of her handicapped starts. The stiff 1m2f at Newcastle caught her out where she looked a likely winner 2f out. She endured an interrupted run at Lingfield under a moderate ride last time. Kempton should suit her style of running better and this is weaker than the two handicaps she’s already contested.
6.15pm Kempton – Raise The Roof 1pt win 15/2 general
Tip 7 – 7.45pm Kempton
This probably concerns the top two in the market. However, at the prices, ready preference is for G’Daay.
He won last time at Yarmouth but got demoted for barging and carrying the second across the track. Whether that demotion was justified is one thing but there’s little doubt that he was the best horse on the day. That was his first start over 6f and he remains unexposed as a sprinter. Being only raised 2lb for that reverse looks generous and he can go well again.
7.45pm Kempton – G’Daay 1pt win 4/1 general