Free UK Horse Racing Tips
Another entertaining day of racing at York yesterday. Snowfall impressed a lot of people but there has to be serious doubts about the quality of any of her form. Nevertheless, she can only beat what opposes her. It’ll make for a fascinating Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, that much is for sure.
We have four bets at York today and one at Musselburgh. I also quite like the look of a few at Kempton and Newcastle, which will be posted later.
Tip 1 – 2.50pm Musselburgh
Our first selection comes at Musselburgh with Novak. The case for him is fairly straightforward. He has taken a sizeable step forward in each of his qualifying runs. His latest run at Redcar was definitely the best of the three. Prior to that Redcar run he had been gelded and had inevitably benefitted from that.
Novak shapes as if he will improve significantly from extra yardage, which he gets today. He doesn’t look overly burdened in the handicap on his nursery debut. Similarly, his pedigree suggests the extra distance will be in his favour. It would be disappointing if he didn’t go close today.
2.50pm Musselburgh – 1pt win Novak 7/2 general
Tip 2 – 3.35pm York
The Nunthorpe is a fascinating race. Suesa put in a staggeringly impressive performance at Goodwood. A replication of that would be good enough to win this. Arguably, that performance was right up there with some of the best performances Battaash put in. She’s also only had 6 career starts and has potential for further improvement.
She’s currently joint-favourite with Golden Pal. He may well be the second coming but it’s hype at this stage and he looks too short in the betting. The Norfolk and Breeders’ Cup Sprint were two poor races and the form is moderate at best. Nevertheless, he is clearly talented and it wouldn’t be a shock if he won. Just at the prices, he looks far too short.
The concern for Suesa is the draw and most of the pace seems drawn on the other side. This could give a slight advantage to Golden Pal. One who could be the beneficiary of the pace and draw is Dragon Symbol and I’ll have a saver on him. Plus, a reverse forecast on the two with the nice liquidity in the World Pool with the Tote.
3.30pm York – 2pt win Suesa 3/1 general & 0.5pt win Dragon Symbol 9/2 general
Tip 3 – 4.40pm York
This looks a wide-open fillies’ handicap. One I feel who is overlooked in the betting is Golden Melody. She lost her way after winning on debut for William Haggas last year but has been rejuvenated – albeit in a lower grade – for Tim Easterby this year.
Improving the last two times for the step up to a mile, she has improved on more galloping or stiff tracks. Today is a whole new test altogether as she goes up in trip another 2f. Nevertheless, her pedigree is littered with winners over trips ranging from 1m2f-1m6f and that gives hope. As does her running style; she settles much better than she used to.
This could be too ambitious for her but she’s priced accordingly. She gets in here off a featherweight, she’s ultra-consistent and her trainer has had a big-priced winner at York already this week.
4.40pm York – 1pt win Golden Melody 22/1 general (some 25s available)
Tip 4 – 5.10pm York
Hugely competitive and full of progressive and nicely bred sorts, befitting of a York handicap. There are two I like at big prices and I’ll dutch both with a stronger preference for one.
The first is the Richard Fahey trained Abduction. An eye-catcher at Pontefract on seasonal reappearance when finishing quickly, that race has produced lots of winners. He then ran in one of the most competitive three-year-old handicaps at Newmarket where he was drawn on the wrong side. With how things transpired at Goodwood, he had no chance in the centre in the Stewards Cup.
He is now jumping up from 6f to a mile and that could illicit improvement. His pedigree points to this trip suiting, as does his run style. He is undoubtedly well handicapped, carries no weight and is afforded the assistance of Hollie Doyle. Plenty of pointers to a good run.
The second is Il Bandito. This is undoubtedly his toughest assessment to date and he’s admittedly becoming frustrating. However, I think he’s been running in the wrong races. Small fields when getting no cover are no good to him. His stand out performance this year was at Haydock – when winning – where he was buried amongst runners.
This is the first time he’s properly encountered a big-field environment and could be the type that benefits from it. He’s certainly worth chancing at the prices as the talent is patently there.
5.10pm York – 1pt Abduction 28/1 general & 0.50pt Il Bandito 33/1 general