I’m not sure about the top two in the market in the 1m2f handicap at Nottingham (5.45pm), who bring weak AW form to the table, and have instead backed one that is returning from a break.

Red Glory‘s sire Harzand had just two juvenile winners last term from his first crop across the UK and Ireland, but his stock have always looked likely to come into their own at three and Red Glory could give him a first three year old winner of the season this evening.  The Ed Dunlop-trained gelding bred to be smart, with five of his seven male siblings running to 90+.  He didn’t show much on his first two outings last term, but there was a lot to like about his run at Newmarket in October, where he showed up well for a long way finished a very creditable sixth.

The winner was in a different league that day, but the second, third, fourth and seventh have all won since, while the fifth has finished second on both subsequent starts and is rated 81.

The switch to faster ground is an unknown, but the step up in trip will definitely suit, he has been gelded since his last run and he looked a scopey individual at two and a likely improver for time and a trip.  The 5lbs claim of the bang in-form Mark Crehan is another plus, and it is worth noting he has had a winner and a second from his last two rides for this yard (total of 4).

5.45pm Nottingham – 1pt win Red Glory @ 17/2 (Ladbrokes, Coral, Paddy Power, Betfair, Skybet)